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Indian ruling party heads to victory with wide lead in votes

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NEW DELHI (AP) — Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Hindu nationalist party was headed to a landslide election victory in Thursday’s vote count, while the leader of the main opposition party conceded a personal defeat that signaled the end of an era for modern India’s main political dynasty.
Election Commission data on Thursday night showed that Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party had won 92 seats and was leading in 211 other constituencies out of 542 seats in the lower house of Parliament. Its main rival, the Indian National Congress, had won 25 seats and was leading in 26 others. The final tally was not expected until Friday.
Modi tweeted, “India wins yet again.”
Addressing thousands of party workers celebrating the outcome, Modi urged the world to “recognize India’s democratic power.” He attributed the party’s showing to his pro-poor policies, including free medical insurance and relief for distressed farmers.
The election was seen as a referendum on the 68-year-old Modi, whose economic reforms have had mixed results but whose popularity as a social underdog in India’s highly stratified society has endured. Critics have said his Hindu-first platform risks exacerbating social tensions in the country of 1.3 billion people.
On the campaign trail, Modi presented himself as a self-made man with the confidence to cut red tape and unleash India’s economic potential, and labeled Congress party president Rahul Gandhi, the scion of a political dynasty that lost national power in 2014, as an out-of-touch member of the elite.
Gandhi conceded defeat for his own parliamentary seat to his BJP rival in Amethi, a constituency in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh that had for decades been a Congress party bastion. But Indian election rules allow candidates to run in more than one constituency, and Gandhi was ahead in the race for another seat he contested in the southern state of Kerala.
Asked if he would quit the party’s top post to take responsibility for its dubbing, Gandhi replied, “That’s something between me and my party’s policy-making body which is going to meet soon.”
Congress, the party of India’s first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, and peace activist Mahatma Gandhi, ruled India for nearly half a century after it achieved independence from Britain in 1947. In 2014, it won only 44 seats.
The BJP’s performance “is absolutely stunning. Modi is the predominant leader in India today. He has pushed everybody else aside. Nobody in the opposition is a match for him,” said political commentator Arti Jerath.
A party or coalition needs a simple majority of 272 seats, or just over half the seats in Parliament’s lower house, to govern.
“Mr. Modi’s going to be the next prime minister, we are very assured of that,” said Meenakshi Lekhi, a member of Parliament running for re-election in New Delhi. Shortly after officials began tabulating the votes, India’s Sensex jumped 2.3% to an all-time high over 40,000, though it closed Thursday off 0.76% at 38,811.
If BJP’s lead holds, it won’t need a coalition partner to stay in power and could even improve its position compared to 2014, when it won 282 seats. This election may mark the first time in the party’s history that it has won two consecutive elections on its own.
World leaders, including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan and Sri Lankan President Maithripala Sirisena, congratulated Modi on Twitter.
“I congratulate Prime Minister Modi on the electoral victory of BJP and allies. Look forward to working with him for peace, progress and prosperity in South Asia,” Khan tweeted.
Trends in the election data suggest that BJP’s strategy of pursuing an aggressive campaign in eastern India paid off, with the party breaking into the citadels of Trinamool Congress Party in West Bengal state and the Biju Janata Dal in Odisha state.
The biggest losers appear to be the Communists who ruled West Bengal state for 34 years until they were ousted by Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress Party in 2011. Coalition partners of the Congress-led government in New Delhi between 2004 and 2008, the Communist Party of India (Marxist) was leading in only three constituencies and the Communist Party of India in two constituencies.
Outside BJP headquarters in New Delhi, hundreds of people cheered and shouted party slogans, lifting cardboard cutouts of Modi and BJP President Amit Shah into the air as other people played drums and set off fireworks.
Mohit Sharma, a 29-year-old who runs a bathroom fittings business, said India had never had a prime minister like Modi.
“In the past, when leaders after they won elections, they sat in air-conditioned rooms and they never reached out to people, but Modi was never like that. He was always connected to the people through social media,” Sharma said.
Fashion designer Sandeep Verma, 39, said he wasn’t a BJP supporter but voted for the party in the elections.
“A country like India needs a decisive leader and the people did not find that in Rahul Gandhi. There was no alternative to Modi,” Verma said.
The BJP harnessed social media, including Twitter, where Modi has 47.4 million followers, and WhatsApp to reach out to millions of supporters.
Modi also capitalized on a suicide bombing in Kashmir in February that killed 40 Indian soldiers. India retaliated with airstrikes at alleged terrorist training camps in Pakistan, fanning the flames of nationalism and helping the BJP turn voters’ attention away from the flailing economy and onto matters of national security.
As votes were being counted across India, Pakistan’s military said it successfully test-fired a long-range ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.
Tensions with Pakistan “gave him the narrative he needed to counter all these allegations of non-performance, unemployment and rural distress. It reenergized him and enabled him to reclaim his image as a strong leader India needs at this juncture,” Jerath said.
Analysts also said that Modi’s victory could embolden Hindu hard-liners calling for Hindu cultural practice to color more of India’s laws and norms.
BJP candidate Sadhvi Pragya, a Hindu holy woman who is awaiting trial on charges connected to a 2008 bombing that targeted Muslims, and who recently called independence leader Mahatma Gandhi’s assassin a “patriot,” was leading the polls in Bhopal.
At Congress headquarters, a few party workers stood outside looking dejected.
Jagdish Sharma, 50, blamed the counting method, using electronic voting machines, saying “Rahul Gandhi is the crowd’s favorite, but has always lost only due to EVMs. While EVMs exist even Lord Vishnu can’t defeat Modi,” he said, referring to a powerful Hindu god.
Voters cast ballots on some 40 million electronic voting machines, a method India began using 15 years ago after complaints that the manual count of paper ballots was tainted by fraud and abuse. But losing candidates and political parties have raised doubts about the accuracy and reliability of the electronic method, doing so again this week.
Top opposition leaders met with Election Commission officials on Tuesday after videos appeared on social media showing some electronic voting machines being moved. The party officials alleged that the machines were going to be altered, but the commission said the images showed unused machines being moved into storage.

INDIA ELECTIONS 2019

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Roads, boats and elephants

How India mobilised a million polling stations

By  Simon Scarr, Manas Sharma and Marco Hernandez
PUBLISHED MAY 22, 2019
The final day of voting in India’s mammoth general election was on Sunday. Over 900 million people were eligible to cast their ballots in the staggered seven-phase polling.
The world’s biggest election involved around 1 million polling stations spread across the country, from remote corners of the Himalayas to crocodile-infested mangrove swamps of the Andaman Islands. Each polling station served about 900 voters on average but some catered for over 3,000 people.
Each voting location used electronic voting machines (EVMs) which were first introduced in 1982. Instead of issuing a ballot paper, electors cast their votes by pressing a button next to a candidate’s name and party symbol.
Voting compartment
Presiding officers
The control unit and status display unit are connected to equipment in the voting compartment and can open the ballot.
Printed confirmation
Connection to the control unit
Control unit
VVPAT
machine
Ballot unit
Status display
unit
The Voter-Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) system is attached to the EVM to confirm the vote. It prints a small slip of paper carrying the symbol and name of the candidate voted for. This is visible to the voter for a short period, and can be later used by the Election Commission of India (ECI) to verify the votes.
An election official marks the finger of a voter inside a polling booth in the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh, in this file picture taken February 2012. REUTERS/Pawan Kumar
After voting, people receive a mark of purple ink on their index finger as an indication that they have cast their ballot.

Polling stations

ECI guidelines say no voter should be more than 2 km away from a polling station. This means that in densely populated swathes of the country, such as the northern state of Uttar Pradesh, the distribution of polling stations tends to follow a similar pattern to population density.
Clusters of stations in major cities and towns are evident, along with populated road networks. Rivers and sparsely populated, rugged terrain or jungle show as empty space.
Home to 200 million people, the state is India’s most populous. This year it needed 160,000 polling stations, shown on the map below.
Polling stations
Forest
NEPAL
Uttarakhand
N
25 km
Ghaghara River
Ganges River
Uttar Pradesh
Delhi
Lucknow
Kanpur
Rajasthan
INDIA
Sparsely populated,
rugged terrain
INDIA
For such a mammoth exercise, nearly 11 million government officials and security forces were deployed, travelling by foot, road, special train, helicopter, boat and sometimes elephant.
Many locations are often in isolated areas with few facilities. More than 80,000 stations surveyed by the ECI lacked mobile connectivity, and nearly 20,000 were located in forest or semi-forest areas, according to data released last year.

In the forests

The small eastern state of Mizoram has over 86% of its geographical area under forest cover, the second-highest in India after the far-flung Lakshadweep islands.
Mizoram is also a mountainous state of steep, rocky cliffs and deep valleys, making for some almost inaccessible polling stations. The state shares an international border of about 722 km with Bangladesh and Myanmar, and the security agencies closed border gates during the elections. The ECI set up separate polling booths for about 15,000 state voters staying in refugee camps in the neighbouring state of Tripura since 1997 after ethnic clashes.
The distribution of polling stations in Mizoram is sparser and tends to follow the ridges of the hills that run in a north-south direction through the state.
Assam
Manipur
Many ridges with steep slopes
and narrow valleys covered
with thick forest
Forest cover
Mizoram
INDIA
Aizawal
MYANMAR
Remote
border villages
Lunglei
CHIN
HILLS
BANGLADESH
INDIA
Mizoram
10 km
In the far northeast of the country is Arunachal Pradesh, another state covered in thick forest. According to the latest India State of Forest Report, it has the largest area of very dense forest (VDF) in the country. This tree cover gives way to snow-capped mountain peaks along the northern border with China.
This challenging terrain means some of the most remote and hard-to-reach polling stations in the country were set up in the state. One temporary booth was set up for a single female voter. The Malogam Temporary Structure was constructed by a team of six election workers who travelled 30-40 km for two days to put up the booth.
Out of the 2,202 polling stations in the state, seven had less than 10 voters, 281 between 11 to 100.
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
INDIA
N
Siang Valley
Stretch of remote
stations
10 km
CHINA
Arunachal Pradesh
Tawang
BHUTAN
Daporijo
INDIA
Temporary booth
Set up for one voter
Booth set up for
three voters
Assam
Brahmaputra River
Nimatighat
Shown in image below
MYANMAR
Immediately south of Arunachal Pradesh is Assam. The state has 13 times more polling stations than Arunachal Pradesh but is flatter and has less forest cover. However, the state has its own challenges due to a number of small islands and sandbars scattered around the Brahmaputra River that runs through the state, which are home to many voters.
Polling officers carry electronic voting machines towards their vehicles after arriving on a ferryboat in Nimatighat, Jorhat district, in the northeastern Indian state of Assam, April 9, 2019. REUTERS/Adnan Abidi
Election officials travelling to cut-off locations need to carry all of the necessary equipment and paperwork with them across tough terrain and any obstacles. Voting machines are packed in special carry cases after disconnecting power supply from connected batteries once voting is completed. They are sealed with the official stamp of the ECI and candidates’ agents. Journeys carrying these machines can sometimes take days.
Porters carry Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) machines and Electronic Voting Machines (EVM) through Buxa tiger reserve forest to a remote polling station, in Alipurduar district in the eastern state of West Bengal, India, April 10, 2019. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri

High in the Himalayas

In the north of the country is Himachal Pradesh, a small state with a population of 70 million, predominantly a mountainous region in the Himalayas neighbouring Tibet.
Voters pose for a group photograph at Tashigang, the world’s highest polling station. May 19, 2019. Photo: ANI
With a backdrop of the snow-capped Himalayas stretched out across a vibrant blue sky, the village of Tashigang in the Spiti Valley was the highest polling station in the world when voting took place, according to the ECI. 49 voters were registered to vote at the station which sits 15,256 feet above sea level. The election team used helicopters to reach the remote area.
Another polling station in the remote village of Ka, 9,700 feet above sea level, was set up for just 16 voters, 12 female and four male, the smallest number for this state in this election.
Himachal Pradesh
INDIA
CHINA
Tashigang
India’s highest
polling station
Ka
Only 16 voters
HIMALAYAS
Spiti Valley
INDIA
Himachal Pradesh
Sutlej Valley
Kullu Valley
Uttarakhand
Dhauladhar range
Shimla
Pong Dam
Chandigarh
Haryana
N
Punjab
10 km
Small, sometimes dilapidated shelters scattered across this region become tremendously important for the one day every five years when they are used by citizens in these distant places to have their say in their country’s election.
Polling stations in Himachal Pradesh. Photos: Election Department, Himachal Pradesh.
India’s Election Commission has made elaborate arrangements to conduct a free and fair election and ensure that no voter is left behind. But analysts said it will have to take steps to regain its reputation of an impartial referee after it faced internal rifts and criticism from opposition parties for what they said was insufficient action taken against the ruling party for violating rules.
Source: The Election Commission of India; Election departments of Himachal Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Mizoram; Indian Space Research Organisation; GLAD (Global Land Analysis & Discovery) lab, University of Maryland; Forest Survey of India. Reuters reporting
By Simon Scarr, Manas Sharma and Marco Hernandez
Additional reporting and editing by Manoj Kumar, Raju Gopalakrishnan and Karishma Singh

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