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US oil industry pushes back on sanctions against Venezuela

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CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — The Trump administration's decision on Wednesday to slap sanctions on eight members of Venezuela's all-powerful constitutional assembly brings to 30 the number of government loyalists targeted for human rights abuses and violations of democratic norms since anti-government protests began in April.


But even as the list of targeted individuals grows longer, promised economic sanctions have yet to materialize amid an outcry by the U.S. oil industry that a potential ban on petroleum imports from Venezuela — the third-largest supplier to the U.S. — would hurt U.S. jobs and drive up gas costs.
The sanctions announced Wednesday focused on current or former Venezuelan government officials accused by the U.S. of supporting President Nicolas Maduro's creation of a special assembly charged with rewriting Venezuela's constitution — a move the U.S. says is an attempt by Maduro to shore up his grip on power.
Since its election last month, the 545-member assembly has declared itself superior to all other government institutions and ousted Venezuela's chief prosecutor, a vocal critic of Maduro. The U.S. Treasury Department took the unusual step of sanctioning Maduro himself last month, freezing any assets he may have in the U.S. and blocking Americans from doing business with him.
The newest additions on Wednesday include Adan Chavez, the older brother of Hugo Chavez, who is credited with introducing the late president to Marxist ideology in the 1970s, and a national guard colonel lionized by the government after he physically shoved congress President Julio Borges during a heated exchange caught on video.
Former Foreign Minister Delcy Rodriguez, who is leading the assembly but has so far escaped being sanctioned, said the latest U.S. action seeks to "spread fear" among delegates and please government opponents she described as "criminals" and "unpatriotic."
While most Venezuelan officials wear U.S. sanctions as a badge of honor — and are frequently rewarded with promotions as a result — Maduro faces a far greater threat if Trump follows through on economic sanctions against the OPEC nation.
For all of Maduro's anti-capitalist rhetoric, Venezuela, which sits atop the world's largest oil reserves, remains highly dependent on oil exports to the U.S., especially for importing food and medicine — items in short supply as crude prices have fallen and triple-digit inflation wreaks havoc on the economy.
The Trump administration warned last month that it would take "strong and swift economic actions" against Maduro if he went ahead with plans to seat the constitutional assembly. But since the election last month, no such action has materialized, leading some of Maduro's opponents to wonder whether the U.S. president has lost his nerve.
The prospect of an import ban has alarmed U.S. oil companies that rely on Venezuelan crude. Nine companies, including Chevron, Valero, Citgo and Phillips 66, currently process Venezuelan crude in more than 20 U.S. refineries, most of them located along the Gulf Coast, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Many of these refineries are designed for the type of heavy crude that Venezuela exports and replacing those supplies would be disruptive and costly.
An influential industry group whose members include the nine companies has written two letters to Trump warning there is no guarantee that other key sources of U.S. heavy crude imports — Canada, Mexico and Colombia — could provide enough additional supply to replace the Venezuelan oil. Many refineries would likely turn to Saudi Arabia but the higher costs associated with such a shift "could significantly impact fuel costs for U.S. consumers," according to the letter by the American Fuel & Petrochemicals Manufacturers.
"We want to make sure that we don't have the unintended consequence of doing more harm to U.S. refineries than the Maduro regime," said Chet Thompson, the CEO of the group, which represents 95 percent of the U.S. refining sector.
He added that he is hopeful his lobbying is gaining traction. "We think we've come a long way from early July when these sanctions were first being kicked around. ... We think folks are a lot smarter on this issue than they used to be," he said. "We certainly have not received any commitments or promises as far as what they are going to do. But we have done our job."
The oil industry is finding allies in the U.S. Congress, particularly among lawmakers from the Gulf states. Six Republican congressmen from three of the states that process Venezuela's heavy crude — Texas, Mississippi and Louisiana — recently wrote a letter to Trump warning that banning Venezuelan oil imports would do more harm than good. While applauding the president for his efforts to counter "the disturbing decline of democracy" in Venezuela, the lawmakers, led by Rep. Randy Weber of Texas, said that it could jeopardize 525,000 refining-related jobs along the Gulf Coast.
"We fear that potential sanctions will harm the U.S. economy, impair the global competitiveness of our energy business and raise costs to consumers," according to the July 28 letter, a copy of which was provided to The Associated Press by a senior Venezuelan official and whose authenticity was confirmed by one of the signatories, Rep. Clay Higgins of Louisiana.
Some Senate Republicans could soon join the chorus. Sen. Bill Cassidy, a Louisiana Republican who sits on the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, is preparing a letter to Trump raising similar concerns about the impact on the U.S. fuel market, according to his spokesman, John Cummings, who said the senator is rounding up signatories.
Energy analysts, however, have been more circumspect about the effect on global markets and prices at the pump. A recent analysis by Wells Fargo Securities concluded that one impact would be to raise foreign heavy crude prices by about $3.50 a barrel. However, the ban would not affect demand for gasoline or reduce the overall supply of crude on the global market, as Venezuela would likely redirect its shipments to countries in Asia and elsewhere, albeit at a painful discount.
"We do not believe there would be significant impact on retail prices to U.S. consumers given that the net availability of worldwide crude oil volumes would be unchanged," the Wells Fargo report said.
Venezuela's government, meanwhile, continued to crack down on its opponents. The government-packed Supreme Court ordered the removal and imprisonment of another Caracas-area mayor for not obeying orders to shut down protests in his district.
David Smolansky is the fifth opposition mayor to be removed or jailed in little more than two weeks as Maduro attempts to consolidate his power by going after his enemies. He was sentenced to 15 months in jail in a ruling Wednesday night.
The whereabouts of Smolansky, the mayor of El Hatillo district, were not immediately known.
Olson reported from New York.

Why India and China are facing off over a remote corner of the Himalayas

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The site of the deadlock between China and India is a bowl-shaped plateau in a region called Doklam. In many respects it is typical of the immense border shared between the two Asian giants. Himalayan mountains frame their 4,000-km division, all of it sparsely populated and very little of it formally demarcated. It doesn't help that maps of the remote region are often imprecise. Incursions, most of them accidental, are frequent: even as the Doklam confrontation has simmered, a Chinese contingent was spotted briefly on Indian soil almost 1,000km away, to the west of Nepal. Caution prevails; everyone remembers the Sino-Indian war of 1962, which led to a brief but humiliating multi-pronged invasion of India. A relatively tense incursion happened in 2014, awkwardly while Xi Jinping was making his way to India for a first visit as China’s president. Most of the treaties that separate the two sides predate the existence of their modern states. Many were signed by officers of the British raj and the Qing empire.


Latest updates18 In dispute is a self-contradictory old treaty, signed in 1890. It defines the border between China and Bhutan by means of a watershed, but also by reference to several mountain passes. India and Bhutan claim that the watershed fixes the tri-junction at a pass called Batang-La. But the same treaty also mentions another pass further south, called Gymochen. The standoff was ignited by Chinese roadbuilders who seemed to be preparing to pave over a dirt track to Gymochen, which China regards as the southern extent of its claim. The pass occupies a ridge commanding a view to the Siliguri Corridor, also known as “chicken’s neck”, a strategically important sliver of India which connects the Indian north-east to the rest of the country. So India intervened not only on behalf of Bhutan but also with its own security in mind. It maintains that a blacktopped road represents too much of a change to the status quo agreed between the two big players for China to be allowed to make it unilaterally. China calls the Indian view an outrage.

Though neither country wanted the standoff, there is now no clear way to resolve it. Neither side can simply withdraw its soldiers without losing face; some clever diplomatic compromise is needed. The solution might lie with tiny Bhutan, which has no diplomatic ties of its own with China and which India has tended to treat as an extension of itself. If royal Bhutanese troops were to stand in for the Indians, the Chinese might be able to move back their own threatening presence, and all sides could declare victory. However, the solution would come at an immediate cost to India if it led Bhutan any closer to establishing its own relations with China.


Source-The Economist

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Astronomers Find Four New Exoplanets Around Nearest Sun-Like Star!

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Matt Williams द्वारा
It has been an exciting time for the field of exoplanet studies lately! Last summer, researchers from the European Southern Observatory (ESO) announced the discovery of an Earth-like planet (Proxima b) located in the star system that is the nearest to our own. And just six months ago, an international team of astronomers announced the discovery of seven rocky planets orbiting the nearby star TRAPPIST-1.
But in what could be the most encouraging discovery for those hoping to find a habitable planet beyond Earth, an an international team of astronomers just announced the discovery of four exoplanet candidates in the tau Ceti system. Aside from being close to the Solar System - just 12 light-years away - this find is also encouraging because the planet candidates orbit a star very much like our own!
The study that details these findings - "Color difference makes a difference: four planet candidates around tau Ceti" - recently appeared online and has been accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal. Led by researchers from the Center for Astrophysics Research (CAR) at the University of Hertfordshire, the team analyzed tau Ceti using a noise-eliminating model to determine the presence of four Earth-like planets.
This illustration compares the four planets detected around the nearby star tau Ceti (top) and the inner planets of our solar system (bottom). Credit: Fabo Feng/CAR/Univ. of Hertfordshire
This discovery was made possible thanks to ongoing improvements in instrumentation, observation and data-sharing, which are allowing for surveys of ever-increasing sensitivity. As Steven Vogt, a professor of astronomy and astrophysics at UC Santa Cruz and a co-author on the paper, said in a UCSC press release:
"We are now finally crossing a threshold where, through very sophisticated modeling of large combined data sets from multiple independent observers, we can disentangle the noise due to stellar surface activity from the very tiny signals generated by the gravitational tugs from Earth-sized orbiting planets."
This is the latest in a long-line of surveys of tau Ceti, which has been of interest to astronomers for decades. By 1988, several radial velocity measurements were conducted of the star system that ruled out the possibility of massive planets at Jupiter-like distances. In 2012, astronomers from UC Santa Barabara presented a study that indicated that tau Ceti might be orbited by five exoplanets, two of which were within the star's habitable zone.
The team behind that study included several members who produced this latest study. At the time, lead author Mikko Tuomi (University of Hertfordshire, a co-author on the most recent one) was leading an effort to develop better data analysis techniques, and used this star as a benchmark case. As Tuomi explained, theses efforts allowed them to rule out two of the signals that has previously been identified as planets:
"We came up with an ingenious way of telling the difference between signals caused by planets and those caused by star's activity. We realized that we could see how star's activity differed at different wavelengths and use that information to separate this activity from signals of planets."
Artist's impression of the Tau Ceti system, based on data retrieved in 2012. Credit: J. Pinfield/Univ. of Hertfordshire
For the sake of this latest study - which was led by Fabo Feng, a member of the CAR - the team relied on data provided by the High Accuracy Radial velocity Planet Searcher(HARPS) spectrograph at the ESO's La Silla Observatory in Chile, and the High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer (HIRES) instrument at the W. M. Keck Observatory in Mauna Kea, Hawaii.
From this, they were able to create a model that removed "wavelength dependent noise" from radial velocity measurements. After applying this model to surveys made of tau Ceti, they were able to obtain measurements that were sensitive enough to detect variations in the star's movement as small as 30 cm per second. In the end, they concluded that tau Ceti has a system of no more than four exoplanets.
As Tuomi indicated, after several surveys and attempts to eliminate extraneous noise, astronomers may finally have a clear picture of how many planets tau Ceti has, and of what type. "[N]o matter how we look at the star, there seem to be at least four rocky planets orbiting it," he said. "We are slowly learning to tell the difference between wobbles caused by planets and those caused by stellar active surface. This enabled us to essentially verify the existence of the two outer, potentially habitable planets in the system."
They further estimate from their refined measurements that these planets have masses ranging from four Earth-masses (aka. "super-Earths") to as low as 1.7 Earth masses, making them among the smallest planets ever detected around a nearby sun-like star. But most exciting of all is the fact that that two of these planets (tau Ceti e and f) are located within the star's habitable zone.
Recent studies have shown that rocky planets orbiting red dwarf stars will be tidally-locked and subject to intense radiation, reducing their chances of being habitable. Credit: M. Weiss/CfA
The reason for this is because tau Ceti is a G-type (yellow dwarf) star, which makes it similar to our own Sun - about 0.78 times as massive and half as bright. In contrast, many recently discovered exoplanets - such as Proxima b and the seven planets of TRAPPIST-1 - all orbit M-type (red dwarf) stars. Compared to our Sun, these stars are variable and unstable, increasing their chances of stripping the atmospheres of their respective planets.
In addition, since red dwarfs are much dimmer than our Sun, a rocky planet would have to orbit very closely to them  in order to be within their habitable zones. At this kind of distance, the planet would likely be tidally-locked, meaning that one side would constantly be facing towards the sun. This too makes the odds of life emerging on any such planet pretty slim.
Because of this, astronomers have been looking forward to finding more exoplanets around stars that are closer in size, mass and luminosity to our own. But before anyone gets too excited, its important to note these worlds are Super-Earths - with up to four times the mass of Earth. This means that (depending on their density as well) any life that might emerge on these planets would be subject to significantly increased gravity.
In addition, a massive debris disc surrounds the star, which means that these outermost planets are probably subjected to intensive bombardment by asteroids and comets. This not doesn't exactly bode well for potential life on these planets! Still, this study is very encouraging, and for a number of reasons. Beyond finding strong evidence of exoplanets around a Sun-like star, the measurements that led to their detection are the most sensitive to date.
Artist’s impression of how an infant earth might look. Credit: ESO.
At the rate that their methods are improving, researchers should be getting to the 10-centimeter-per-second limit in no time at all. This is the level of sensitively required for detecting Earth analogs - aka. the brass ring for exoplanet-hunters. As Feng indicated:
"Our detection of such weak wobbles is a milestone in the search for Earth analogs and the understanding of the Earth's habitability through comparison with these analogs. We have introduced new methods to remove the noise in the data in order to reveal the weak planetary signals."
Think of it! In no time at all, exoplanet-hunters could be finding a plethora of planets that are not only very close in size and mass to Earth, but also orbiting within their stars habitable zones. At that point, scientists are sure to dispense with decidedly vague terms like "potentially habitable" and "Earth-like" and begin using terms like "Earth-analog" confidently. No more ambiguity, just the firm conviction that Earth is not unique!
With an estimated 100 billion planets in our galaxy alone, we're sure to find several Earths out here. One can only hope they have given rise to complex life like our own, and that they are in the mood to chat!
Further Reading: UCSCarXiv

Chinese defense ministry demands immediate withdrawal of Indian troops

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BEIJING, Aug. 3 (Xinhua) -- Chinese defense ministry has urged India to immediately pull
 back the trespassing troops to the Indian side of the boundary.
Ren Guoqiang, a spokesperson of the ministry, made the remarks in a
 statement released by the ministry's website late Thursday night.
Ren called on the Indian side to swiftly address the situation in a proper 
manner to restore peace and tranquility in the border region.
Since the incident occurred, China has shown utmost goodwill and 
sought to communicate with India through diplomatic channels to 
resolve the incident. Chinese armed forces have also shown a high
 level of restraint with an eye to the general bilateral relations and
 the regional peace and stability, said Ren.
However, goodwill has its principles and restraint has its bottom line, said Ren.
Ren urged the Indian side to give up the illusion of its delaying tactic,
 as no country should underestimate the Chinese forces' confidence
 and capability to safeguard peace and their resolve and willpower to
 defend national sovereignty, security and development interests.
Chinese armed forces will resolutely protect the country's territorial 
sovereignty and security interests, said Ren.
Indian border troops illegally crossed the border into Chinese 
territory on June 18, and obstructed China's road construction work on the Chinese side.
As of Thursday, there are still Indian border troops illegally staying in the Chinese territory.
On Wednesday, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a document titled
 "The Facts and China's Position Concerning the Indian Border Troops'
 Crossing of the China-India Boundary in the Sikkim Sector into the Chinese Territory."

Can a drink a day keep diabetes away?

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(Reuters Health) - - People who enjoy one beer or glass of wine several days a week may be less likely to develop diabetes than drinkers who tend to have all their cocktails on a Saturday night, a Danish study suggests.
When researchers looked at people who drank they same total amount of alcohol, they found that men who spread those drinks over three to four days of the week were 27 percent less likely to develop diabetes than guys who downed all their shots and beers in one sitting.
Women, meanwhile, had 32 percent lower odds of diabetes when they spread their cocktails over several days instead of a single happy hour.
But this is hardly a prescription to drink every day, said senior study author Janne Tolstrup of the University of Southern Denmark.
“I wouldn’t advise a non-drinker to start drinking for their health,” Tolstrup said by email.
“Generally, people should stick to the guidelines already there,” which in most countries are a maximum of 7 drinks per week for women and 14 for men, Tolstrup added.
Other studies looking at total alcohol consumption have linked light to moderate drinking with a lower risk of diabetes than abstinence, researchers note in Diabetologia. The odds of diabetes for binge drinkers, meanwhile, had been similar to or greater than for teetotalers, previous research has found.
For the current study, researchers wanted to see how much the total amount of alcohol consumed over a week might help explain the differing pictures of diabetes risk found in earlier research.
They examined survey data from 70,551 men and women who didn’t have diabetes at the start of the study. Half the participants stayed in the study for five years or more.
During the study, 859 men and 887 women developed diabetes.
Like other studies of diabetes and drinking, the current analysis found the lowest risk for people who consumed moderate amounts of alcohol.
Compared to non-drinkers, men who had 14 drinks a week were 43 percent less likely to develop diabetes and women who had nine weekly drinks were 58 percent less likely to develop diabetes.
The study didn’t include many people who reported binge drinking, and it didn’t find clear evidence to show whether excessive alcohol consumption might be good or bad from the standpoint of diabetes risk.
What people drank did appear to matter, however.
Participants who had at least seven glasses of wine a week were 25 to 30 percent less likely to develop diabetes than people who had no more than a single weekly glass.
Beer, however, only appeared to help men. Consuming one to six beers a week was associated with a 21 percent lower risk of diabetes than drinking less than one beer a week.
Spirits, meanwhile, didn’t appear to help at all and were associated with problems for women. When women had seven or more drinks with spirits each week, they were 83 percent more likely to develop diabetes than women who had less than one cocktail or shot of booze a week.
The study wasn’t a controlled experiment designed to prove if or how alcohol consumption influences the odds of developing diabetes.
Other limitations include the reliance on participants to accurately recall and report on their drinking habits, as well as the possibility that other lifestyle factors or individual characteristics other than drinking habits might explain why some people got diabetes.
“The take-home message is to be very skeptical of the idea that frequent alcohol protects against developing diabetes,” said Tim Stockwell, director of the Center for Addictions Research and a professor at the University of British Columbia in Vancouver, Canada.
“There are a number of health risks associated with even moderate alcohol use including multiple cancers of the digestive system as well as breast cancer and possibly prostate cancer,” Stockwell, who wasn’t involved in the study, said by email. “People should use alcohol sparingly if they drink and do so for pleasure and not with the idea that it will have medicinal benefits.”
SOURCE: bit.ly/2vtIrk9 Diabetologia, online July 27, 2017.

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